The Tories should be miles ahead in the polls

There was a time – as little as few months ago – when many Conservatives were wandering the country in dizzy expectation of a bumper Tory victory at the next general election. There may still be a few deluded souls left, but now the rank and file of the Conservative Party are all too well aware there is a real possibility their hopes may be dashed as the voters decide whom they want to be prime minister.

The Tories should have been miles ahead in the polls. This current government has vandalised just about everything it has touched. A strong economy, with controlled public spending and borrowing has given way to an expansion of the client state, with reckless spending and borrowing that has not put Britain in a unique position to weather the current economic storm.

It has been the most anti-libertarian government anyone can remember. CCTV everywhere, the largest DNA database in the world and the big brother state interfering in our lives in ways unimaginable 10 years ago.

Immigration has spiralled out of control, with the government admitting it doesn’t know how many immigrants have entered the country. This has lead to resentment and has helped the rise of the National Front and the BNP.

The main problem the main political parties face at the next general election is the sheer amount of minority parties who will be standing. Labour will lose out to the National Front and the BNP and the Conservatives will lose out to UKIP. No serious commentator will predict those parties will elect an MP, but they can take away votes from the main parties and in critical marginal seats this could be the margin between victory or defeat.

I have written many times about what David Cameron and the Conservative Party needs to do to win. The voters don’t want some middle of the road Tony Blair Mk II. The want a radical government lead by a prime minister who is not afraid to make tough choices. Public spending has to be drastically cut, but neither Labour, Conservatives or the Liberal Democrats are proposing the sort of policies we need to get the public finances back on their feet again. The approach seems to be tinker here and tinker there, and the voters are not stupid. They see through this and there is a very real danger they will cast their votes to the ‘better the devil you know party’ rather than what should be the government in waiting.

Unless ‘Team Cameron’ gets the tough messages across, and wins support for its honesty, I think we will have a hung parliament, and I have no idea who will be the largest party. Normally elections are lost by governments.  This year, I think the election could be lost by the main opposition bring frightened to tell the country the truth.